MLB Player Prop Picks 6/11/25 MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)

Randy Vasquez Over 2.5 Earned Runs

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers 4:10 PM EST

Randy Vásquez has appeared in 12 games, including 12 starts, finishing with a 3–4 record, a 3.69 ERA, and a 1.45 WHIP across 58.2 innings, while striking out 37 batters. Left-handed batters are hitting .287 with a 4.47 ERA, compared to .203/.3.34 ERA against righties. Vasquez is coming off a great start against the Brewers, but he has had some inconsistency issues in his career. He’s the type of guy I want to fade after a good start. Especially going up against the Dodgers, whose lineup is stacked from top to bottom. 

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David Peterson Over 4.5 Strikeouts

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST

David Peterson has solidified himself as a key arm in the Mets’ rotation, making 12 starts and posting a strong 4–2 record, a 2.80 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 65 strikeouts over 70.2 innings. His consistent performance ranks his ERA among the top 17 in the majors. He’s had some good strikeout stuff lately as well, logging 6+ K’s in 3 of his last 5 games. I expect Peterson to have a good outing when it comes to a strikeout perspective. 

Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Hits Allowed

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs 1:05 PM EST

Jesús Luzardo has started 13 games, posting a 5–2 record with a 4.46 ERA over 72.2 innings, accompanied by a 1.44 WHIP and 83 strikeouts—a strikeout rate of 10.3 K/9 that ranks in MLB’s top third. Luzardo’s recent outings have been volatile: in his last seven starts, he went 2–2 with a 7.18 ERA. He’s given up 30 hits in his last 3 starts. I’m not sure what happened to Luzardo, but he’s in a bad slump right now. Now he has to go against the Cubs, who rank in the top 3 in almost every major offensive category.