MLB Player Prop Picks 6/3/25 MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)

Clayton Kershaw Under 3.5 K’s

Clayton Kershaw has made three starts this 2025 MLB season. Over these appearances, he has pitched a total of 11.0 innings, recording a 0–0 win-loss record with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He has struck out six batters and issued six walks. In his most recent outing on May 28 against the Cleveland Guardians, Kershaw delivered a solid performance, allowing just one earned run over five innings. He has yet to eclipse 3 K’s in a game this season, though. He’s also going against the Mets, who just saw him less than 10 days ago. Kershaw is way past his prime, and the fact that we can get this line at + money is too hard to pass up on. 

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Zac Gallen Under 6.5 K’s

Zac Gallen has experienced a challenging start to the MLB season. Over 12 starts, he has compiled a 3–7 record with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP across 66.2 innings pitched. Gallen has struck out 66 batters while issuing 32 walks, and opponents are batting .284 against him. In his most recent outing on May 28 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Gallen allowed five earned runs over five innings. Gallen has failed to record over 5 K’s in his last 4 outings. I’ve always thought Gallen was a bit overrated by the public, and those thoughts are starting to come to fruition. I expect him to have another tough outing against this Braves team that hits the ball well in Atlanta. 

Lance McCullers Over 4.5 K’s 

McCullers has started five games, posting a 0–1 record with a 5.89 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 18.1 innings pitched. Despite these surface-level statistics, McCullers has demonstrated significant progress, particularly in his recent outings. In his latest start against the Oakland Athletics, he delivered six innings with 12 strikeouts, matching a career-high and showcasing his effective curveball and slider. McCullers’ return has been timely for the Astros, who are navigating a challenging stretch with a depleted pitching staff. He’s averaging 10 Ks a game in his last 2 outings and has another favorable matchup in this one, going against a bad Pirates lineup.

Trevor Williams Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Trevor Williams has made 11 starts for the Washington Nationals, compiling a 3–5 record with a 5.69 ERA over 55.1 innings pitched. He has recorded 43 strikeouts, issued 15 walks, and holds a WHIP of 1.45. Williams’ season has been marked by inconsistency. In his most recent outing on May 10 against the St. Louis Cardinals, he allowed four earned runs over six innings. Advanced metrics indicate that opposing hitters have been making solid contact against Williams. His average exit velocity allowed is 90.2 mph, with a hard-hit rate of 39.7% and a barrel rate of 6%. Now he has to go against the Cubs, which rank in the top 10 in almost every major statistical category. I expect a tough outing for Williams.