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MLB Player Prop Picks (Batting Props) 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Toronto (89-62) vs Tampa Bay (73-78)
September 18, 2025 at 01:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
Vladimir Guerrero Over 1.5 Total Bases
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 1:10 PM EST
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put together an excellent season at the plate for the Toronto Blue Jays, showing both consistency and power. Through 145 games and 546 at-bats, he has collected 165 hits for a .302 batting average, with 23 home runs, 81 RBIs, 93 runs scored, and 6 stolen bases. He owns an average exit velocity of 92.3 mph, a 51.1% hard-hit rate, and a 12.9% barrel percentage. With Shane Baz on the mound for the Rays, I’m looking to target this Blue Jays offense, and there’s not a better option than Guerrero Jr. Shane Baz has given up a ton of hard contact this season, and in this ballpark, I expect Guerrero to punish Baz early and often.
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Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins 7:40 PM EST
Aaron Judge once again is having an incredible season, leading the American League in several key offensive categories. He comes into this one batting .326, which ranks first in the league. He has hit 48 home runs, placing him fourth in MLB, and has driven in 102 RBIs, tying for eighth. His OPS is 1.125, leading all qualified hitters. Aaron Judge had a quiet series in Minnesota, but I like him to bounce back in this one. He’ll be up against lefty Cade Povich, who has been susceptible to giving up hard contact. Judge also has a .336 batting average against left-handed pitching. After a quiet series, I’m looking to buy in on Judge.
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases
Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals 2:10 PM EST
Julio Rodríguez has had another strong season for the Seattle Mariners, continuing to be a cornerstone of their lineup. Through mid-September, he has hit .271 with 30 home runs, 93 RBIs, and an OPS of .803, providing a mix of power and run production. Advanced metrics underscore the quality of his contact, as he maintains an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, a hard-hit rate of 47.8%, and a barrel rate of 9.9%. This Mariners team has been on fire, and a big reason for that is Julio Rodriguez playing out of his mind. He’s logged 2+ bases in 8 of his last 10 games. I don’t see him slowing down in this one, going against Lorenzen, who has been nothing to brag about.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays 1:10 PM EST
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put together an excellent season at the plate for the Toronto Blue Jays, showing both consistency and power. Through 145 games and 546 at-bats, he has collected 165 hits for a .302 batting average, with 23 home runs, 81 RBIs, 93 runs scored, and 6 stolen bases. He owns an average exit velocity of 92.3 mph, a 51.1% hard-hit rate, and a 12.9% barrel percentage. With Shane Baz on the mound for the Rays, I’m looking to target this Blue Jays offense, and there’s not a better option than Guerrero Jr. Shane Baz has given up a ton of hard contact this season, and in this ballpark, I expect Guerrero to punish Baz early and often.
Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins 7:40 PM EST
Aaron Judge once again is having an incredible season, leading the American League in several key offensive categories. He comes into this one batting .326, which ranks first in the league. He has hit 48 home runs, placing him fourth in MLB, and has driven in 102 RBIs, tying for eighth. His OPS is 1.125, leading all qualified hitters. Aaron Judge had a quiet series in Minnesota, but I like him to bounce back in this one. He’ll be up against lefty Cade Povich, who has been susceptible to giving up hard contact. Judge also has a .336 batting average against left-handed pitching. After a quiet series, I’m looking to buy in on Judge.
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases
Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals 2:10 PM EST
Julio Rodríguez has had another strong season for the Seattle Mariners, continuing to be a cornerstone of their lineup. Through mid-September, he has hit .271 with 30 home runs, 93 RBIs, and an OPS of .803, providing a mix of power and run production. Advanced metrics underscore the quality of his contact, as he maintains an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, a hard-hit rate of 47.8%, and a barrel rate of 9.9%. This Mariners team has been on fire, and a big reason for that is Julio Rodriguez playing out of his mind. He’s logged 2+ bases in 8 of his last 10 games. I don’t see him slowing down in this one, going against Lorenzen, who has been nothing to brag about.
