Sep 6, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers pitcher Jacob deGrom (48) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Houston Astros at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-Imagn Images

MLB Player Prop Picks (American League Pitchers) 9/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Texas (79-72) vs Houston (82-69)

September 17, 2025 at 08:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston 0.0001 — Over/Under: +7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Jacob DeGrom Over 6.5 K’s

Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros 8:10 PM EST

Jacob deGrom has put together an excellent 2025 season for the Texas Rangers, showing that he can still perform at an elite level after battling through injuries in recent years. He comes in with a 12-7 record with a sharp 2.82 ERA and an outstanding 0.92 WHIP over 162.2 innings pitched, while striking out 171 batters. DeGrom has failed to log 7+ K’s in 4 of his last 5 starts, but I want to back him in this one. At this point in the season, this is a must-win game for the Rangers, and I expect their ace to step up when it matters most. 

Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!

Taj Bradley Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees 7:40 PM EST

Taj Bradley has made 25 starts in 2025 with both the Minnesota Twins and the Tampa Bay Rays, posting a 6-7 record with a 4.88 ERA over 132.2 innings pitched. He’s struck out 114 batters and carries a WHIP of 1.30. In terms of batted-ball and advanced metrics, opponents have had an average exit velocity of about 89.0 mph, a hard-hit rate of 38.9%, and a barrel percentage of 6.6%. Taj Bradley has given up 3+ earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts, and things won’t get easier for him in this start, going against the Yankees. Taj Bradley gives up a ton of hard contact, and with the amount of power this Yankees team possesses, they will give Taj Bradley problems early & often. 

Martin Perez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox 7:40 PM EST

Martin Pérez is in his first season with the Chicago White Sox. Over 10 appearances, he holds a 1–5 record with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, spanning 52.1 innings. He has struck out 42 batters and issued 16 walks, averaging 7.2 strikeouts per 9 innings and 2.7 walks per 9 innings. After a couple of difficult starts, I like Martin Perez to deal in this game. The Orioles have struggled at the plate on the road as well as against left-handers. Perez is a veteran pitcher, and he’s a guy I can trust getting back on the right track.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • Japan vs Great Britain BJK Cup Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • MLB Player Prop Picks (Pitcher Props) 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • MLB Player Prop Picks (Batting Props) 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • NRFI & YRFI Best Bets 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • Rice vs Charlotte Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks 9/18/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 18, 2025

  • Iowa vs Rutgers Prediction 9/19/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 19, 2025

  • Syracuse vs Clemson Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 20, 2025

  • Bowling Green vs Louisville Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 20, 2025