Aug 5, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta (51) throws against the Atlanta Braves in the third inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

MLB Player Prop Picks 8/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)

Pick details

Pittsburgh (51-68) vs Milwaukee (73-44)

August 12, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee +1.5 — Over/Under: +7

(Get latest betting odds)

Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 K’s 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers 7:40 PM EST

Freddy Peralta has continued to be strong in the 2025 season for the Milwaukee Brewers, coming into this one with a 13–5 record, a 3.03 ERA, and 141 strikeouts over roughly 130 innings pitched. He maintained a 1.14 WHIP, striking out batters at a rate of 9.71 per nine innings while issuing 3.38 walks per nine, giving him a strikeout-to-walk ratio just under 3. Peralta has especially been elite when pitching in Milwaukee. He has a favorable matchup in this game, going against the Pirates, who’ve been one of the worst teams in the MLB when it comes to a batting perspective. We see a total of 6.5 in this game. I expect this to be low low-scoring game where Peralta will go deep into which will lead to strikeouts. 

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Anthony DeSclafani Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers 8:05 PM EST

Anthony DeSclafani comes into this one with a 1-1 win–loss record over 7 appearances (including 2 starts), logging 19.1 innings pitched. He has a 4.20 ERA through his limited work so far this season. He’s coming off a great start against the Padres, where he allowed 0 earned runs, but the start before that, he allowed 4 earned runs to the Athletics. Even though DeSclafani is coming off a great start, I want to fade him in this one. I consider him to be a volatile pitcher, and it’s hard for me to believe that he’ll have two lights-out performances in a row. Also, this Rangers lineup has performed better over the last month. 

Robbie Ray Over 6.5 K’s

San Diego Padres vs San Fransico Giants 9:45 PM EST

Robbie Ray has been delivering an outstanding 2025 season, logging 24 starts and posting a 9–5 record accompanied by a stellar 2.85 ERA over 142.0 innings pitched in a tough National League West. He struck out 148 batters, while issuing 55 walks, which translates to a WHIP of 1.13, reflecting his control and ability to limit baserunners effectively. He maintained an impressive strikeout rate of 9.38 K/9, paired with a BB/9 of 3.49, yielding a solid K/BB ratio of 2.69. He’s coming off another solid performance in his last outing, logging 8 strikeouts against the Pirates. We’ve seen this Padres team struggle to hit the ball both on the road and against lefties. This sets up for another great spot for Robbie Ray to log plenty of strikeouts.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above


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