MLB Player Prop Picks 08/06/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)

Ranger Suarez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles 12:35 PM EST

Ranger Suárez has been one of the most consistent arms for the Phillies so far this season. Through 16 starts and 100.2 innings pitched, he holds an 8–4 record with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP, striking out 95 batters while issuing 27 walks, giving him a solid 3.5 strikeouts per walk. He has delivered at least 10 quality starts, and in 9 of his last 11 outings, he allowed two or fewer earned runs, establishing himself as a reliable part of the rotation. The Orioles have struggled against left-handed pitching and on the road this season. I expect him to have another solid outing in this one. 

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Andrew Abbott Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 2:20 PM EST

Andrew Abbott has emerged as a dominant force in the Cincinnati Reds’ rotation, posting an 8–1 record across 19 starts, totaling 108.2 innings pitched with a 2.15 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and 96 strikeouts, placing him among the league’s top performers in both ERA and WHIP. Abbott has been stingy with runs, allowing two earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts, maintaining a high level of consistency throughout the season. There is wind blowing towards the infield in Wrigley on Wednesday, which is great conditions for a pitcher. Abbott will continue to roll in this one.

David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs

New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians 1:10 PM EST

David Peterson has been the anchor of the New York Mets’ rotation, making 21 starts and tallying 127.0 innings pitched with a record of 7–4. He comes in with a 2.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, alongside 105 strikeouts, ranking 7th in the NL in ERA and tied for 46th in strikeouts among hitters. He’s shown remarkable consistency, allowing two or fewer earned runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, and delivered at least six innings in seven of his last nine outings. Peterson is in another good spot in this game, going against the Guardians, who’ve been inconsistent at the plate and have specifically struggled against left-handed pitching.