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MLB Player Prop Picks 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)
Pick details
San Francisco (56-57) vs Pittsburgh (49-64)
August 5, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5
Logan Webb Over 6.5 K’s
San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6:40 PM EST
Logan Webb has anchored San Francisco’s rotation with veteran poise, totaling 23 starts and compiling a 9–8 record, a solid 3.31 ERA, and 1.25 WHIP over 141⅓ innings, while striking out 155 batters (10.5 K/9), ranking tied for 6th in the majors. Webb’s game has evolved, boosting his strikeout rate to 26.3% thanks to tweaks in his pitch mix and coaching influence, a shift that elevated his dominance beyond his traditional ground-ball profile. In his last start, he finished with 11 strikeouts, and that was against this same Pirates lineup. I expect Webb to deal again in this one.
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Shota Imanaga Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds 8:05 PM EST
Imanaga is coming into this one with an 8–4 record with a strong 3.25 ERA over 15 starts and 83 innings, while striking out 63 batters and limiting baserunners to a 1.04 WHIP. He’s coming off two of his most difficult starts of the season, but I like him to bounce back in this one. To start off, the Reds have struggled against left-handed pitching this season. It also looks like there’s going to be wind facing towards the infield on Tuesday. Imanaga is too talented to continue to have bad starts like he’s had as of late. Let’s buy low on Imanaga to return back to form.
Miles Mikolas Over 2.5 Earned Runs
St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers 10:10 PM EST
Miles Mikolas has logged 21 starts, posting a 6–8 record with a 4.83 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and 75 strikeouts over 108 innings pitched. His K/9 stands at approximately 6.18, while his BB/9 is around 1.92, yielding a K/BB ratio near 3.3, which is below the league average. Mikolas’s season has been marked by inconsistency. He’s been much stronger at home than on the road as well. Now he has one of his most difficult starts going against this Dodgers lineup in LA. I don’t see things ending well for Mikolas in this game.
