MLB Player Prop Picks 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (American League Pitchers)

Garrett Crochet Over 7.5 K’s

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals 7:10 PM EST

Garrett Crochet has firmly established himself as Boston’s Ace, making 22 starts and compiling a stellar 12–4 record, 2.23 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and an impressive 175 strikeouts in 141.1 innings pitched. He currently leads the American League in innings pitched and strikeouts, and ranks 4th in ERA among qualified starters. His strikeout rate sits at roughly 31%, while his walk rate is just 6.7%, translating into a 6.7 K/BB ratio, which is elite. He’s coming off a 10-strikeout game against the Dodgers. I see him having a similar performance in this one, going against the Royals, who’ve been inconsistent when it comes to an offensive perspective.

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Zebby Matthews Over 2.5 Earned Rubs

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers 6:40 PM EST

Zebby Matthews has logged 7 starts for Minnesota, posting a 2–3 record with a 5.67 ERA over 33.1 innings, striking out 42 batters and carrying a 1.41 WHIP. Zebby’s results have fluctuated game by game. His standout performance came on July 25th vs. Washington, where he tossed six shutout innings, but in his next start, he allowed 5 earned against the Red Sox. This isn’t a great spot for Matthews, going against the Tigers, who have been great at home this season. I expect Matthew’s to get touched up early and often in this game.

Bryan Woo Over 6.5 K’s

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners 9:40 PM EST

Bryan Woo is coming into this one with an 8–6 record, 3.11 ERA, 127 strikeouts, and an elite 0.97 WHIP across 133 innings, ranking him among the best in the majors in WHIP and strikeout rate. He became the first pitcher this century to start at least 18 games with 6+ innings each to open a season since Randy Johnson. He’s failed to record over 6 K’s in his last 4 starts, but he has a great matchup in this one, going against the White Sox. Even though the White Sox have been solid as of late, they’ve still been awful on the road and now have to play in a tough ballpark.