MLB Player Prop Picks 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (American League Batting Props)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Colorado Rockies 8:40 PM EST

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is posting a .289 batting average, with 120 hits, 16 home runs, 58 RBIs, and scoring 72 runs over 111 games and 415 at-bats, good for an .858 OPS, ranking him 18th in average and 21st in OPS among MLB hitters. Guerrero Jr. is averaging a 92.7 mph exit velocity, with a 51.7% hard-hit rate and a robust wOBA of .372, closely mirrored by his .374 xwOBA, indicating his performance was firmly backed by hard contact and quality outcomes, not fluke results. This is a dream series for a player like Guerrero. He’ll be playing in Coors Field and going against this Rockies pitching staff that ranks at the bottom of the league and every defensive category. I’ll be looking to attack Guerrero props all week long.

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Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels 9:38 PM EST

Junior Caminero has been great this season for the Tampa Bay Rays. He’s coming into this one with a .252 batting average, 28 home runs (6th in the American League), 72 RBIs, and a .792 OPS. Caminero pairs serious power with solid contact quality. He ranks in the 80th percentile in exit velocity at 91.3 mph, a 48–49% hard‑hit rate, and a barrel rate around 11%, well above MLB averages for rookies and power hitters alike. He’s coming off a strong series against the Dodgers and now has a favorable matchup against the Angels. The Angels’ downfall has been their bullpen, and I think Caminero takes advantage of that. 

Nick Kurtz Over 1.5 Total Bases

Athletics vs Washington Nationals 6:45 PM EST

Nick Kurtz has exploded onto the MLB scene as a rookie in 2025, putting up remarkable numbers in his first 73 games. He is slashing an impressive .304/.380/.650, producing a league-leading 1.030 OPS that ranks among the best in the majors, in just his debut season. He hit 23 home runs (tied for 15th in MLB), drove in 61 runs, scored 49 times, and accumulated 80 hits over 263 at-bats. He is averaging a whopping 93.0 mph average exit velocity, posting a 53.1% hard‑hit rate, and a 20.0% barrel rate, all of which are elite marks league‑wide. I don’t see him slowing down in this series against the Nationals. The Nationals currently hold the worst bullpen ERA in the majors. I’m looking to ride the hot hand in this game.