Jul 26, 2025; St. Louis, Missouri, USA;  St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Brendan Donovan (33) takes a big leadoff from first base against the San Diego Padres at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Vizer-Imagn Images

MLB Player Prop Picks 07/29/2025 Picks (American League Batter Props)

Pick details

Miami (50-54) vs St. Louis (54-53)

July 29, 2025 at 07:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis -1.5 — Over/Under: +8

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Brendan Donovan Over 1.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardnials vs Miami Marlins 7:45 PM EST

Donovan has been a reliable and versatile contributor for the St. Louis Cardinals. Over the course of approximately 94 games and 330 at-bats, he posted a solid slash line of .285/.348/.412, showcasing his ability to consistently get on base and provide quality at-bats. Donovan hit 5 home runs, drove in 36 runs, and added 16 doubles along with 8 stolen bases, while scoring around 50 runs. Donovan has been in a cold stretch over his last 10 games, but I like him to bounce back in this one. He’ll be up against Sandy Alcantara, who has an ERA over 10 when on the road. I wouldn’t be surprised if Donovan clears this 1.5 total baseline in his first at-bat.

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Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Total Bases

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs 7:40 PM EST

Jackson Chourio has solidified his place as one of baseball’s rising stars, appearing in 104 games and logging 439 at-bats, during which he’s hit .276/.308/.472 (.780 OPS), ranking him in the top 40 in batting average and around 65th in OPS across MLB. He has logged 70 runs scored, 121 hits, 17 home runs, 67 RBIs, and 18 stolen bases. In his last 15 games, he’s been on fire, hitting .371/.400/.548, tallying 12 hits, 13 runs, and 2 home runs, while walking 3 times. Chourio has logged 2+ bases in 7 of his last 10 games. He’ll be up against Colin Rea, who has been one of the Cubs’ more volatile pitchers in this rotation. I like Chourio to have another solid game. 

Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres 9:40 PM EST

Juan Soto has a slash line of .252/.387/.496, yielding an outstanding .883 OPS, a mark that ranked 12th in MLB. He hit 25 home runs (tied for 9th), drove in 62 runs, scored 74 times, stole 14 bases, and added 16 doubles. He has an average exit velocity of 94 mph, a 55% hard‑hit rate, and a barrel rate of 18.2%. We saw Juan Soto hit a bomb in his last game against the San Francisco Giants. Even though he has been inconsistent over the last couple of weeks, he’ll be up against Yu Darvish, who has looked terrible since returning to action. I like Juan Soto to have a strong outing on Tuesday.

Brad Francis's Pick: MLB Player Prop Picks 07/29/2025 Picks


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