Jul 27, 2025; Anaheim, California, USA;  Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Logan Gilbert (36) pitches during the second inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

MLB Pitcher Player Prop Picks 8/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Chicago (42-71) vs Seattle (61-53)

August 7, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle -1.5 — Over/Under: +7.5

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Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 K’s

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox 4:10 PM EST

Logan Gilbert continues to affirm his role as a reliable top-of-the-rotation arm in 2025, making 15 starts and logging 78.1 innings. He compiled a 3–4 record with a solid 3.45 ERA and an impressive 0.98 WHIP, while tallying 112 strikeouts, reflecting a strong 12.87 K/9 rate. We’ve seen Gilbert finish his last two starts with 7 strikeouts, but I like him to get over that hill in this one. Gilbert has been specifically solid at home in his career and has a great matchup going against this terrible White Sox lineup. I wouldn’t be surprised if Gilbert finishes with double-digit strikeouts in this game. 

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Eury Perez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 7:15 PM EST

Eury Pérez returned midseason from Tommy John surgery and immediately reminded everyone of his potential. In 10 starts, he posted a 4‑3 record, with an outstanding 2.70 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and tallied 51 strikeouts over 50 innings, an electric 9.2 K/9 rate that highlighted both his dominance and durability. He’s allowed 2 or fewer runs in each of his last 6 starts, and he’s one of the hottest pitchers in the MLB right now. I don’t see him slowing down in this game, going against the Braves, who have been disappointing this season and are currently in a bad slump. 

Mitchell Parker Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Washington Nationals vs Athletics 12:05 PM EST

Mitchell Parker comes into this one with a 7–11 record, a 5.35 ERA, and a 1.47 WHIP across 22 starts, totaling 117.2 innings with 77 strikeouts, roughly a 9.94 K/9 rate. Opponents are averaging a 92.1 mph exit velocity and a 50.7% hard-hit rate, which has led Parker into some problems. In his last start on August 1st, he surrendered 12 hits and 8 runs in just 4 innings. This has been the story of Parker’s season so far, and I can see things getting out of hand for him in this one, going against an Athletics lineup that has been pesky.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above

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