Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Taj Bradley for the start here and Bradley is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Bradley is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 22 strikeouts. Max Scherzer will start here for Toronto and is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Minnesota, Scherzer is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 36 strikeouts.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 7-4 win over Toronto on Saturday to improve to 8-7 this season. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Boston Red Sox. 

Twins Win 5 Of Last 6

Luke Keaschall has 11 hits with a home run and 7 RBIs while Josh Bell has 14 hits with 4 doubles and 3 home runs with 12 RBIs. Royce Lewis has 8 hits wtih 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 12 hits with 2 doubles. 3 home runs and 5 RBIs. Victor Caratini also has 11 hits and 4 RBIs this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Minnesota on Saturday to sit at 6-8 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Blue Jays Drop 7 Of Last 9

Andres Gimenez has 13 hits with a triple, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 16 hits with 4 doubles and 4 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 11 hits with a double, 2 home runs, 3 RBIs and a team-high 20 strikeouts while George Springer also has 2 homers with 6 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 16 hits with 3 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 11 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs.

Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: April 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 3.38
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Twins: 2-0

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight day games at Rogers Centre following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against the Twins.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home day games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taj Bradley      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 1.08
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 2-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 14 games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last eight games between the Twins and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine games at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games.
• Max Scherzer has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Max Scherzer has recorded five or more strikeouts in 41 of his last 43 Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games against AL opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.433) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• James Outman has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Taj Bradley ranks T5th in the league for Wins (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (95).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (156).
• The Twins rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (69).
• The Twins rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (126).

Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I just think it’s a very volatile starting pitching matchup with Max Scherzer off to another slow start and Taj Bradley’s hot start in my opinion being unsustainable. I think that this ends up being a high-scoring game early, so give me the over once again.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 8