Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and Toronto Blue Jays meet Friday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 7-6 on the year and play the Reds and Red Sox next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .226 on the season and have a .329 OBP, and a .352 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 13 hits and 10 RBI, while Victor Caratini and Matt Wallner have combined for 23 hits and 9 RBI.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Woods Richardson is 0-0 with a 11.25 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-7 on the year and play the Brewers and Diamondbacks next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .228 on the season and have a .309 OBP, and a .341 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 13 hits and 3 RBI while Andres Gimenez and Kazuma Okamoto have combined for 23 hits and 11 RBI.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he was 7-11 with a 4.40 ERA and 131 strikeouts last season. Corbin is 2-3 with a 6.41 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine Friday night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have won each of their last eight Friday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Twins at Rogers Centre following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games at Rogers Centre against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Twins’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six games as road underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Twins and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against AL opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two road games against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank T27th in the league for runs scored this season (41).
• The Blue Jays rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (14).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (124).
• The Twins rank 7th in the league for runs scored this season (60).

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’m not high on this rebuilding Twins squad, but I need to see the Blue Jays get back on track before I can lay juice with them confidently. Also, we’re getting plus money to fade Patrick Corbin, who has been arguably the worst pitcher in baseball over the last several years. He had moments last season but he’s been awful over the last five seasons overall. Since 2021, Corbin has a 5.47 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. You’re giving me a favorable price to fade a bad pitcher; I’m going to take it. Give me the Twins.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota Twins