Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/25/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 25th at the Globe Life Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have an 80-78 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 48-32 home record and are 69-86 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-2 home victory over the Twins, that ended their 8-game losing streak. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Guardians next.

The Rangers have a .235 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .383 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 124 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .252 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 74, while Wyatt Langford adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Tyler Mahle (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 6-3 record, 2.20 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 68-90 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 30-47 road record and are 73-75 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-4 road defeat by the Rangers, which ended their two-game winning streak. Under is 5-0 in their last 5 games and are playing the Phillies next.

The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 125 hits, adding team-highs both in RBI, with 78, and in home runs, with 32. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average.

Bailey Ober (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 5-9 record, 5.32 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.

Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 25, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle      Record this season: 6-3      ERA: 2.20
• Home Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Twins: 1-0

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine day games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight Thursday road games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober      Record this season: 5-9      ERA: 5.32
• Road Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Rangers: 1-1

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The underdogs have won nine of the Rangers’ last 10 games at Globe Life Field.
• The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Rangers’ last 11 games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Rangers’ last 12 day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in 24 of his last 26 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.539) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (586).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.65).
• The Twins rank 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (454).

Twins vs Rangers Prediction

The Twins are 6-3 in their last 9 head-to-head meetings against the Rangers, and are 5-1 in their last 6 visits in Texas.

In this Twins vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -150 home favorites. Both teams have nothing to play for, but Mahle has been a more reliable option on the mound for the Rangers. He is coming off a shutout start against the Marlins, while Ober on the other hand, has been weaker on the road, and in terrible form lately, having 4+ earned runs in four of his last five starts. The Rangers also have a superior bullpen to back Mahle up, so I expect them to take care of business at home in this one.