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Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 6/1/25 MLB Picks

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Seattle Mariners (31-26) vs Minnesota Twins (31-26)

June 1, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -135 / Minnesota Twins +114 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 1, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins (31-26, 13-18 Away) beat the Kansas City Royals, lost to the Tampa Bay Rays, and won the opening game of the current series against the Mariners in extra innings. However, the Twins fell short in Game 2, again in extra innings. This time around, they lost 5-4. Matt Wallner led the team with two RBI, while Bailey Ober pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on six hits with four strikeouts and one walk. Cole Sands took the loss.

This season, the Twins average 4.07 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .239/.308/.382 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 3.34 ERA (6th) and 1.16 WHIP (2nd). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .266 batting average, ten home runs, and 30 RBI this season.

Chris Paddack will take the mound for the Twins on Sunday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 2-5 record in 11 starts this year with a 3.92 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 57.1 innings.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (31-26, 15-14 Home) were on a three-game losing skid after losing two to the Washington Nationals and the opening game of this series against the Twins, but managed to snap that negative run with a 5-4 win on Saturday. J.P. Crawford and Cal Raleigh led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Bryce Miller pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with two strikeouts and one walk. Collin Snider was credited with the win.

This year, the Mariners average 4.58 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .237/.322/.397 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.91 ERA (29th) and 1.59 WHIP (15th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .264 batting average, 22 home runs, and 44 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Luis Castillo, who is 4-3 in 11 starts this season, with a 3.32 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 62.1 innings.

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins

  • The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games following an extra-innings loss.
  • The Mariners have won four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Thirteen of the Mariners’ last 14 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Twins’ last three road games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven day games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last 10 day games between the Twins and Mariners.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mariners rank T27th in the league for triples this season (3).
  • The Mariners rank 4th in the league for walks this season (217).
  • The Twins rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (201).
  • The Twins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Twins vs Mariners Prediction

The Twins won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. I am going with the Mariners in this one, although I expect a tight affair. Luis Castillo allowed a .218 BA in 78 at-bats against Minnesota in his career, and he registered four quality starts of five in May. Chris Paddack, on the other hand, experienced an even better month (May), and even though I believe he will perform well on Sunday, I am leaning toward the Mariners here. Don’t be surprised if this game goes to extra innings.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Mariners ML

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