Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/31/25 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Saturday, May 31st at the T-Mobile Park in the second game of this series, with the Twins having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota TwinsvsSeattle Mariners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 29-24 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 14-14 home record and 31-23 in over/under They are coming off a 6-12 home defeat by the Twins, and are 1-5 in their last 6 games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games and they are playing the Orioles and the Angels next.

The Mariners have a .237 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners in hits with 54, in RBI with 42, and in home runs with 21. He is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average.

Bryce Miller (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 2-4 record, 5.22 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 4.79 ERA across four home starts, but he has been terrible in his last two starts, having 11 earned runs across 9 innings pitched. Bryce Miller is 1-1 with an ERA of 6.75 and 13 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Twins in his career.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 31-25 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 13-17 road record and are 19-32 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-6 road victory over the Mariners, and are 5-2-1 to the under in their last 8 games. They are playing the Athletics and the Blue Jays next.

The Twins have a .238 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Twins with 52 hits, while Ty France adds a team-high 30 RBI. Byron Buxton leads the team in home runs, with 10, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average.

Bailey Ober (R) will take the mound for the Twins, and he has a 4-1 record, 3.41 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 4.67 ERA across five road starts, but he has been in excellent form lately, having one earned run in five of his last six starts. Bailey Ober has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 3.46 and 31 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won six of their last seven day games at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
• The Twins have lost six of their last seven games after going to extra innings.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four day games after going to extra innings.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Mariners’ last eight games.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last 12 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last three games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine day games between the Twins and Mariners.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (68).
• The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (214).
• The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (134).
• The Twins rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (196).

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings against the Mariners, and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Seattle. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -115 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records and home/away splits, and are both coming into this matchup in poor form, with the Mariners being in worse form than the Twins. Miller has been terrible for the Mariners this season, and he has been struggling mightily in his last two starts, while Ober has been excellent for the Twins, so the pitching advantage clearly goes towards the road team. The Twins also have the 4th-best bullpen in the league, and have been better against righties. I love the Twins at an almost pickem price in this spot, so give me the Minnesota Twins by -105 in this one.