Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals meet Sunday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 62-80 on the year and play the Angels, Yankees, and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .239 on the season, have a .311 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Minnesota Twins with 116 hits and 56 RBI, while Byron Buxton and Brooks Lee have combined for 216 hits and 130 RBI.

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. Ober is 0-5 with a 5.00 ERA and 56 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 73-69 on the year and play the Guardians, Phillies, and Mariners next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .245 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 160 hits and 77 RBI while Maikel Garcia and JVinnie Pasquantino have combined for 294 hits and 165 RBI.

Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-9 with a 4.54 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Betting Trends: September 7, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 5-9      ERA: 4.54
• Home Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Twins: 1-0

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have won 24 of their last 26 games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Royals following a road loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober      Record this season: 4-7      ERA: 5.23
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Royals: 0-2

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Royals have lost 15 of their last 20 day games against the Twins following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Royals’ last eight games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Royals’ last 13 games as favorites against the Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six road games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three day games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Twins at Kauffman Stadium.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Royals as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (547).
• The Royals rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.63).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for hits this season (1136).
• The Twins rank 25th in the league for batting average this season (.239).

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Twins continue to pile up the losses and look like a team that’s ready for vacation. Ober doesn’t make things any better, as he’s allowed 33 hits and 18 runs in his last 32 innings. In 52.1 road innings, Ober has a 6.02 ERA and .324 allowed batting average. No, thanks. In 139 at bats against current Royals, Ober is allowing a .281 batting average and .310 on base percentage. No matter what you think of Lorenzen, the Royals have to take advantage of this game. No excuses. Give me the Royals.