Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction 6/13/25 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Chris Paddack for the start here, and Paddack is 2-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paddack is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 2 strikeouts against the Astros. The Houston Astros will send out Colton Gordon for the start here, and Gordon is 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Gordon’s first career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to rebound from a 16-3 loss at the hands of the Texas Rangers in Thursday’s rubber match to fall to 36-32 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Twins Drop 5 Of Their Last 7 Games

Byron Buxton has 55 hits along with 8 doubles, a team-high 11 home runs, and 41 RBIs with 11 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 52 hits with 13 doubles, and Willi Castro has 46 hits with 10 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 64 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 67 hits, 11 doubles, 4 home runs, and 36 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 63 hits with 9 doubles, 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won 11 of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last six games against the Astros.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 12 night games.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against the Astros.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over the Chicago White Sox last time out to sit at 38-30 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the Athletics.

Astros Win Another Series

Jose Altuve has 70 hits, including 9 doubles, 9 home runs, and 27 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 85 hits with 14 doubles, 9 homers, and 33 RBIs with 14 stolen bases, while Yordan Alvarez has 4 doubles and 18 RBIs with 21 strikeouts as well. Jake Meyers has 11 doubles as well, and Christian Walker has 9 home runs and 33 RBIs, but has also accrued a team-high 75 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases, while Jake Meyers has 10 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 15 home runs with 42 RBIs of his own, and Cam Smith has contributed 3 homers and 20 RBIs.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games following a home loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jeremy Pena has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last five home games.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four games against AL Central opponents at Daikin Park.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• Jeremy Pena ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (85) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Twins’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Astros’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. I just haven’t loved what I’ve seen from the Twins over the last week, as the Twins can run hot and cold, and we’re really seeing evidence of that over that span. Colton Gordon is still getting his feet wet at the major league level, but the early returns have been solid, and the Astros as a whole have been playing really well at home as of late. Give me the Astros here.