Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 7/6/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Monday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Shane Drohan for the start and Drohan is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Dustin May will start here for the Cardinals and is 5-6 with a 4.80 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 55-33 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Brewers Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

William Contreras has 95 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 88 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 12 homers and 51 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 72 hits with 13 doubles, 16 home runs and 54 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 61 hits with 3 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Luis Rengifo’s added 38 hits with 9 doubles and 19 RBIs and Garrett Mitchell has 64 hits with 17 doubles and 42 RBIs this season. 

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-4 loss at the hands of Chicago last time out to sit at 47-40 this season. After this series, the Cardinals will take on the Atlanta Braves in a series at home.

Cardinals Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Jordan Walker leads the Cardinals with 96 hits, 18 doubles, 20 home runs and 67 RBIs while Alec Burleson has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 RBIs. JJ Wetherholt has 88 hits with 13 home runs and 36 RBIs while Ivan Herrera has 81 hits with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 39 RBIs. Nolan Gorman has 39 hits with 7 home runs and 26 RBIs this season. Masyn Winn’s added 73 hits with 11 doubles and 37 RBIs and Nathan Church has 55 hits with 8 home runs and 28 RBIs this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 6, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dustin May      Record this season: 5-6      ERA: 4.80
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won each of their last six Monday games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Cardinals following a road win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Cardinals following a win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Brewers at Busch Stadium.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 3.12
• Road Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Cardinals: 0-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have lost four of their last five home games.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
• The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Nelson Velazquez has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
• Dustin May has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight games against NL Central opponents.
• Ivan Herrera ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Shane Drohan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (654).
• The Cardinals rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (121).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.35).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (637).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’m on the Breewrs here. I just think that Dustin May is looking like the weak link of St. Louis’ rotation right now and it’s hard to make a case for him given what we’ve seen in the last couple of starts. Milwaukee is a solid lineup with a lot of pop in those bats and I think that the Brewers get to him and back up Drohan for enough here. Give me the Brewers.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -102