Jul 3, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Sal Frelick against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Milwaukee Brewers San Francisco Giants
Team Records 66-40 45-61
Spread -1.5 118 +1.5 -142
Moneyline -156 +129
Total Over 7.5 (101) Under 7.5 (-122)
Where Oracle Park, San Francisco, California
When Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Time 09:45 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants meet Tuesday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Logan Henderson for the start here and Henderson is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Landen Roupp will start for San Francisco here and is 7-8 with a 3.93 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of San Francisco on Monday to fall to 66-40 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Brewers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Going into Monday, William Contreras has 103 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 57 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 103 hits with 25 doubles, 3 triples, 15 homers and 62 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 85 hits with 16 doubles, 18 home runs and 60 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 81 hits with 22 doubles and 48 RBIs this season. 

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants will try to add on to their win over Milwaukee from Monday to sit at 45-61 this season. After this series, the Giants will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Giants Win 3 Of Last 4

Entering Monday, Luis Arraez has 129 hits with 23 doubles, 7 triples and 40 RBIs while Willy Adames has 88 hits with 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 45 RBIs along with 122 strikeouts. Matt Chapman has 72 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 42 RBIs and Jung Hoo Lee has 109 hits with 22 doubles, 4 triples and 37 RBIs. Heliot Ramos has 68 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Rafael Devers also has 99 hits with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 60 RBIs but also has 123 strikeouts this season.

Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants Betting Trends: July 28, 2026


  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Landen Roupp      Record this season: 7-8      ERA: 3.93
  • Home Record: 3-4
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 0-2

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Brewers.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
  • The Giants have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 3.05
  • Road Record: 2-1
  • Last 5 against Giants: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Giants have lost nine of their last 10 night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against the Giants following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against the Giants.
  • The Giants have lost the first inning in each of their last five Tuesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Giants’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five night games at Oracle Park.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Giants’ last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Willy Adames has hit a home run in four of the Giants’ last eight night games.
  • Landen Roupp has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last eight games against NL opponents.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (130) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Logan Henderson has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Giants.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (271).
  • The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (271).
  • The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (98).
  • The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (98).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

I’m on the Brewers in this one. i get the case to be made for either side in this game, but the thing here is that the Giants have been so inconsistent offensively that it’s kind of hard to get behind them even after a couple of wins that are strung together. I think Milwaukee is simply the better team here and gets the job done once again so give me the Brewers here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -145

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