Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/3/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals meet on Wednesday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Marlins pick. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance

The Washington Nationals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Nationals

Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and Washington

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins and Nationals game

Offense Not Good Enough for the Marlins

The offense was not good enough on Tuesday and that led to the three point defeat. Over the last two games, the Marlins have finished with only two hits. On Tuesday, Adam Muzar went six innings and he gave up ten hits and four runs. He wasn’t great, but the lack of run support really did them in. 

The Marlins are averaging 4.34 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.96 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th while the pitching is ranked 25th. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 9th in all of baseball. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Eury Perez, who sits with a 6-4 record and an ERA of 4.04. Against the New York Mets in his last start, he went 0.2 innings, giving up three hits and five runs. 

Why the Marlins Will Beat the Nationals

The Marlins have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against the Nationals.
The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 day games following a home win.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against the Nationals.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
The Nationals have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Nationals Picking Up Momentum 

The Nationals haven’t had a whole lot of momentum this season, but they are finally picking up some having won two straight games. On Tuesday, the Nationals scored five runs on the way to the victory. James Wood hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. Cade Cavalli went five innings giving up four hits and two earned runs. 

The Nationals are averaging 4.18 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.48 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th while the pitching is ranked 29th. Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals, and he sits with a 7-15 record and an ERA of 5.94. Against the Tampa Bay Rays he went 6.1 innings giving up six hits and three runs. 

Why the Nationals Will Beat the Marlins

The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Marlins following a win.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.
The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction

Do I trust either of these pitchers? Yeah, not really, and it’s going to be a long game for both pitchers. Perez gave up five runs in his last start in only 0.2 innings. For Parker he was decent in his last start, but he’s been so inconsistent, and this Marlins team is good at getting players on base. The Marlins are going to get out to a fast start and they will put up at least four runs off of Parker. Look for a 7-4 or 7-5 type of game, one way or the other, and this one will go well over the total. Back the over.