Jul 12, 2025; Atlanta, GA, USA;  National League pitcher Jonah Tong (16) reacts after a pitch during the second inning against American League at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction 8/29/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Miami (63-71) vs New York (72-62)

August 29, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 63-71 on the year and play the Nationals, Phillies, and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .249 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 137 hits and 34 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 219 hits and 134 RBI.

Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-3 with a 3.44 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s second career game against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 72-62 on the year and play the Tigers, Reds, and Phillies next. The New York Mets are batting .248 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 145 hits and 73 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 258 hits and 181 RBI.

Jonah Tong will make his major league debut when he takes the mound tonight. Tong was 16-11 with a 2.87 ERA and 377 strikeouts in his minor league career. In the minors this year, Tong was 10-5 with a 1.43 ERA and 179 strikeouts.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The Marlins haven’t been able to string together wins this season and while Perez has been solid this season overall, his ERA goes from 2.25 at home to 4.42 on the road. I have a rule of avoiding pitchers making their big league debut because there’s no sample size. However, Tong isn’t your normal debut, as he’s considered a top-50 prospect in baseball and has elite level strikeout ability. Tong has gotten comparisons to Tim Lincecum, and while it will take time to fill those shoes, the stuff is there to be an ace at some point. I’m rolling with the Mets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets

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