The Minnesota Twins and the Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out David Festa for the start here and is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Festa’s second career start against the Marlins. Eury Perez will get the nod for the Marlins here and is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s first career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over the Marlins on Wednesday to sit at 41-45 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Twins Snap Three-Game Losing Streak

Byron Buxton has 72 hits along with 10 doubles, a team-high 19 home runs and 51 RBIs with 15 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 69 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 56 hits with 12 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 7 home runs and 27 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 76 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 78 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 74 hits with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The road team has won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight Thursday home games.
The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last six road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 day games.
Byron Buxton ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Twins on Wednesday to drop to 38-46 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will host the Milwaukee Brewers.

Marlins Have Eight-Game Win Streak Snapped

Xavier Edwards has 75 hits including 9 doubles and a team-high 14 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 73 hits with 19 doubles. Otto Lopez has 65 hits with 9 doubles and 8 home runs with 40 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 43 RBIs but also has 86 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 12 home runs, 15 doubles and 33 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 28 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Twins have lost four of their last five games as road favorites.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made after the Twins as this is a bit of a streaky team that usually puts wins together in bunches and losses together in bunches. However, the value for me still sits with Miami as Festa’s had issues in the majority of his road starts this season and I still think that Perez has a lot of upside with his game. I think this is still a solid spot for Perez to put forth a strong showing, so give me the Marlins and the plus money at home here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami +105