Sep 12, 2025; San Diego, California, USA; Colorado Rockies left fielder Jordan Beck (27) hits a single during the fourth inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Miami (72-80) vs Colorado (41-111)

September 18, 2025 at 03:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado +155 — Over/Under: +10.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Colorado Rockies meet Thursday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara for the start here and Alcantara is 9-12 with a 5.53 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Alcantara is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 16 strikeouts. Colorado will start Tanner Gordon here and Gordon is 6-6 with a 6.14 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Gordon’s first career start against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 8-4 win over the Rockies from their last matchup to sit at 72-80 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Marlins Win 6 Of Their Last 7

Xavier Edwards has 148 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 111 hits with 27 doubles. Otto Lopez has 123 hits with 18 doubles and 14 home runs with 73 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 20 home runs, 29 doubles and 63 RBIs on the year.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to the Marlins on Wednesday to slide to 41-111 this season. After this series, the Rockies will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town for an interleague series at Coors Field.

Rockies Lose 10 Of Their Last 11 Games

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 136 hits including 26 doubles, 4 triples, 30 home runs and 87 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 132 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 15 home runs, 26 doubles, 51 RBIs, 5 triples and 17 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 111 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 16 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 107 hits with 17 doubles, 8 triples and 21 home runs with 62 RBIs.

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: September 18, 2025

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Gordon      Record this season: 6-6      ERA: 6.14
  • Home Record: 4-3
  • Last 5 against Marlins: –

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Marlins and Rockies.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 9-12      ERA: 5.53
  • Road Record: 3-6
  • Last 5 against Rockies: 2-2

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last nine road games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have lost each of their last nine home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last seven road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rockies’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Thairo Estrada has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Farmer has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Hunter Goodman ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.524) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
  • Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
  • The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (371).
  • The Marlins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1169).
  • The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (144).

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this game. I get the case to be made for the Rockies as a home dog as they’ve been respectable in some of Gordon’s recent starts. However, Gordon still has had his fair share of issues at home, and the Rockies are still the Rockies in my eyes. Miami is still up and down and Alcantara has some ugly road numbers, but I think he can be good enough here to guide Miami to the win in this one. Give me the Fish.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami -185

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