Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 57-61 on the year and play the Red Sox, Cardinals, and Blue Jays next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 127 hits and 33 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 203 hits and 127 RBI.  The Marlins will face off against the Boston Red Sox over the weekend.

Janson Junk gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 6-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career game against the Cleveland Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 61-56 on the year and play the Braves, Diamondbacks, and Rangers next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .229 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 125 hits and 61 RBI while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 209 hits and 90 RBI.

Logan Allen gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 7-9 with a 3.96 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Allen is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins. His last start came against the New York Mets, and he gave up four hits and two runs in five innings.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last nine Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Progressive Field.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Guardians have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last three home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Marlins.
• Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his six previous appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Marlins have cooled off since their sweep of the Yankees, and Junk has allowed 11 hits and nine runs in his last 10 innings. The Guardians haven’t strung together losses much lately, and Allen has been solid with his 3.96 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. Allen has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 35.2 innings. The Guardians haven’t lost back-to-back games since July 28. I’ll side with the home team in Cleveland on Tuesday.