Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8/16/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-64 on the year and play the Cardinals, Blue Jays, and Braves next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 133 hits and 34 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 211 hits and 129 RBI. 

Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 4-9 with a 5.09 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Quantrill is 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 67-56 on the year and play the Orioles, Yankees, and Orioles next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .253 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .428 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 126 hits and 65 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 223 hits and 128 RBI.

Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 8-6 with a 3.25 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Bello is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won 14 of their last 15 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a road loss.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six Saturday day games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 day games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his 13 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Marlins.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last three day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trevor Story has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Cal Quantrill has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
• Kyle Stowers ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.544) this season.

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Marlins have been free-falling since sweeping the Yankees, and Quantrill isn’t saving the day. Quantrill has a 5.09 ERA and 1.35 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 12 hits and eight runs in his last 8.1 innings. Quantrill has a 5.03 ERA and .258 allowed batting average on the road. Bello has been decent this season, and he’s allowed 17 hits and six earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Bello has a 3.09 ERA in 81.2 home innings. I can’t back the fish in their current form. Give me the Red Sox at home with the better pitcher.