Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/13/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, April 13th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 10-6 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 6-3 home record and are coming off a 13-1 home win against the Guardians. Their previous three games were a 0-6 home loss and an 11-5 home win against the Guardians, and an 8-2 road win against the Angels.

The Braves have a .274 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 2.41 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. Mauricio Dubon is the team’s best hitter with a .351 batting average. Drake Baldwin leads the team in RBI with 17, also adding a team-high 5 home runs.

Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.55 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 8-8 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 1-5 away record and are coming off a 2-8 road loss against the Tigers. Their previous three games were a 1-6 and a 0-2 road loss against the Tigers, and an 8-1 home win against the Reds.

The Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .350 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 13, also adding a team-high 3 home runs.

Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 1-1 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 13, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 2.55
• Home Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Marlins have lost 25 of their last 26 Monday road games.
• The Braves have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 Monday games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 5.06
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-2

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
• The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games at Truist Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 night games.
• Drake Baldwin ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (5) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 30 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
• Esteury Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T4th in the league in Hits (21) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.41).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.196).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (7).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.209).

Marlins vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Marlins and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

In this Marlins vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -140 home favorites. The Marlins got swept by the Tigers and scored just 3 total runs and Eury Perez does not look good so far with a 5+ ERA and was torched by the Braves last season with 8 earned runs in two starts. On the flip side, the Braves have the best bullpen in baseball and the fourth-best offense and are even better against righties. Holmes had a shutout start against the Marlins last season, so take the Braves to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Atlanta Braves ML