Mets vs Reds Prediction 9/7/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 7th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 76-66 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 3-6. In their game two loss, New York cut the deficit to 4-2 in the seventh, but immediately allowed two runs in the bottom of the inning to seal the loss. The Mets recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Young and Nimmo, who both had one RBI in the loss. New York started Tong, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Stanek allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost three out of four against the Marlins before that. New York has won three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 682 runs with a .252 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 33 home runs and 113 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 37 home runs and 92 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Brandon Sproat, who is making his first appearance for the Mets this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 71-71 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-3 on Saturday night. Cincinnati jumped out to an early 2-0 lead in the second inning and they led the rest of the way for the victory. The Reds recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Stewart, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Singer, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Barlow picked up a hold. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Cardinals. Cincinnati has lost eight of their last eleven games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 644 runs with a .248 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 17 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 5-4 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Mets 

The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
The Reds have won each of their last 10 Sunday games as favorites.
The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Reds’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites.
Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites.
Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as home favorites against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets’ last three road games.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games.
Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Mets vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati finally got a decent pitching performance on Saturday to pick up a much needed win, but they have allowed 33 runs in their last four games. The Reds are 39-34 at home this year, while the Mets are 31-39 on the road. New York continues to fall further back in the race for the NL East and they are starting Sproat, who is a talented young arm. The Reds are going with Greene, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. I don’t really know what to expect from Sproat and Greene has had a very good season, so I will back Cincinnati at home.