Mets vs Nationals Prediction 5/19/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 19th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 21-26 this season after they won game one by a score of 16-7 in extra innings. New York blew a 5-3 lead in the later innings, but they scored 10 runs in the 12th to pull away with the win. The Mets recorded 18 hits in the game and they were led by Bichette, who went 3-6 with one home run and three RBIs. Scott allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Brazoban got the win in extras. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Yankees and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, New York has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 192 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 22 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added three home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 2-2 with a 2.92 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 23-25 this year after they lost game one by a score of 16-7 in 12 innings last night. Washington led 3-1 in the third and they tied the game at five in the eighth, but they failed to score in the 10th, which was their best chance to win. The Nationals recorded 12 hits and they committed four errors in the game, while they were led by Wiemer, who went 2-2 with two RBIs. Irvin allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Schultz allowed six earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Reds. 

This season, Washington has a 5.04 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 262 runs with a .245 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 39 RBIs, while James Wood has added 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 4-2 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 51.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Nationals have won six of their last nine games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight Tuesday night games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost nine of their last 10 games at Nationals Park after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in five of the last six games between the Mets and Nationals.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Mets’ last 12 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Nationals’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction 

New York was able to erupt in the 12th inning on Monday night to start the series with a win and they have scored 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Mets are 10-13 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 8-15 at home. Washington has allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games, but they are starting Griffin, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four outings. The Mets are going with McLean, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. I actually think this is a decent pitching matchup, so I like the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 9