Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction 7/1/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 1st at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 36-50 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-2 and 3-0. In game two, New York took the lead in the fifth inning and never looked back in the shutout victory. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Torrens, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. McLean allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Williams picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Phillies and all four against the Cubs. 

This season, New York has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 343 runs with a .230 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 17 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 46 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 5-6 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 91.1 innings pitched this season. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 40-46 this year after they lost game two by a score of 0-3 last night. Toronto pitched pretty well in the game, but couldn’t get the offense started in the low scoring loss. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Urias, who went 2-3 with one walk. Gausman allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Fluharty allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto lost all four against the Rangers and two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 345 runs with a .247 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 19 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Braydon Fisher, who is 3-3 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last three games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games at Rogers Centre against NL East opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The favorites have won each of the Mets’ last seven games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last three road day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine home games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four day games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in day games.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as road favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Francisco Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction

New York was able to get a much needed win on Tuesday in game two and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Mets are 17-26 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 23-25 at home. Toronto has lost four of their last five games and they have scored five total runs in their last three. The Blue Jays are starting Fisher, who will be an opener, while Peralta has allowed 0, 10, 1, 6, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Take the Blue Jays at home here.

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML