Marlins vs Mets Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 63-72 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-4 and 9-19. In their game two loss, Miami allowed 12 runs in the first two innings and never bounced back in the game. The Marlins recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 4-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the loss. Miami started Perez, who allowed three hits and five earned runs over 0.2 innings for the loss, while Zuber allowed seven earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Miami has lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 583 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 7-7 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 73-62 this year after they won game two by a score of 19-9 on Friday night. New York had their lead cut to 13-5 in the eighth inning, but added six more runs in the bottom of the eighth to seal the victory. The Mets recorded 18 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Nimmo and Taylor, who both had four RBIs in the win. New York started Tong, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Torrens allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won all three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Braves. New York has won six of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 641 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 31 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 33 home runs and 81 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 8-5 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 150.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Marlins 

The home team has won five of the Mets’ last six games.
The Marlins have lost four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games.

Why the Marlins will beat the Mets 

The Mets have lost 11 of their last 14 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The underdogs have won 11 of the Mets’ last 14 games at Citi Field.
The Marlins have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in four of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Marlins vs Mets Prediction 

New York was able to jump all over Miami in the first two innings on Friday to get the easy win, and they have scored at least six runs in four of their last five games. The Mets are 45-25 at home this year, while the Marlins are 32-35 on the road. Miami has allowed 11+ runs in three of their last four and they are starting Cabrera, who has allowed 0, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. New York is going with Peterson, who has allowed 2, 1, 6, 4, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. I think we will continue to see the offenses find success in this game, so I like the over here.