Marlins vs Mets Prediction 8/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 2nd at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 57-55 this year after they won two of the first three games by scores of 2-4, 5-2, and 6-2. In game three, Miami had their lead cut to 3-2 in the second inning, but they scored the last three runs to seal the win. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Phillips allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bachar got the save. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Phillies in three games, but lost all three against the Padres before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.03 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 494 runs with a .251 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 14 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added nine home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 11-6 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 150.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 47-65 this season after they lost game three by a score of 2-6 on Saturday afternoon. New York scored two runs in the second inning, but went scoreless over the last seven innings for the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Taylor, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Thornton allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Duarte allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Braves, but lost two out of three against the Dodgers before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 457 runs with a .233 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Marlins following a home loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 11 Sunday day games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Sandy Alcantara’s last four road appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in four of his last five Sunday day appearances.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Griffin Conine has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as road favorites.

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

Miami comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four. The Marlins are 23-32 on the road this year, while the Mets are 25-33 at home. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have scored two runs or fewer in all three of those losses. The Mets are starting Stock, who is making his first appearance in the MLB this year, while Alcantara has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five outings. Take the Marlins here, but Alcantara’s inconsistency is a worry.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML