Mariners vs Twins Prediction 06/26/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 26th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 41-38 this season after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 11-2, 6-5, and 0-2. In their game three loss, Seattle pitched a very solid game, but their offense was shutout for the loss. The Mariners recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Rodriguez, Arozarena, and Young, who all had three hits in the loss. Seattle started Kirby, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Bazardo allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Cubs, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Seattle has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 364 runs with a .247 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 32 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Jorge Polanco has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Emerson Hancock, who is 3-3 with a 5.43 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 66.1 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 38-42 this year after they won game three by a score of 2-0 on Wednesday night. Minnesota scored once in the sixth and once in the seventh to get the low scoring win. The Twins recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Castro and Clemens, who both had one RBI in the win. Minnesota started Ryan, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Twins lost all three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Reds. Minnesota has lost 11 of their last 13 games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 337 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 17 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 2-4 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 53.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins
The Twins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
The Mariners have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home day games.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts
Five of the Mariners’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Twins’ last nine home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six day games at Target Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Mariners and Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in two of the Twins’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
Victor Robles has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.

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Mariners vs Twins Prediction 
Minnesota didn’t hit the ball very well on Wednesday night, but they did enough to get the win and they desperately need to pickup another here. The Twins are 21-17 at home this year, while the Mariners are 21-19 on the road. Seattle has played very well over their last few series, but they are still a decent distance behind Houston in the division. The Mariners are starting Hancock, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but was shelled last time out. The Twins are going with Woods Richardson, who has allowed 3, 0, 6, and 6 earned runs in his last four outings. Minnesota is still trending in the wrong direction and Hancock has been decent, so give me Seattle to win here.