Mariners vs Twins Prediction 06/23/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23rd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 39-37 this year after they won two out of three against Seattle by scores of 9-4, 7-10, and 14-6. In their game three win, Seattle had their lead cut to 5-4 in the fifth inning, but they scored the next four runs to put the game away. The Mariners recorded 18 hits in the game and they were led by Solano, who went 3-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Seattle started Gilbert, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Speier allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did sweep the Guardians in three games before that. Seattle has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 347 runs with a .248 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 31 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jorge Polanco has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 6-4 with a 3.12 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 37-40 this season after they lost all three games against the Brewers by scores of 6-17, 0-9, and 8-9. In their game three loss, Minnesota trailed 9-3 in the fifth inning, but they did score the final five runs, before falling just short in their comeback attempt. The Twins recorded 18 hits in the game and they were led by Jeffers, Buxton, and France, who all had two RBIs in the loss. Minnesota used Festa as the primary pitcher, who allowed 12 hits and eight earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Jax, Topa, Duran, and Stewart combined for 3.1 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Reds and all three against the Astros. Minnesota has lost nine of their last ten games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 328 runs with a .244 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 17 home runs and 47 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 10 home runs and 35 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-4 with a 4.54 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 79.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Twins will beat the Mariners
The Twins have won each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against the Twins following a road win.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Mariners following a loss.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Mariners at Target Field.

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins
The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
The road team has won each of the Twins’ last four games.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
The road team has covered the run line in six of the Twins’ last seven games.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts
Five of the Mariners’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Twins’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as road favorites.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances at Target Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mariners’ last three road games.
Donovan Solano has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances.
Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games against the Twins.
J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous road appearances against the Twins.
Cal Raleigh ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.659) this season.

Matchup/League Facts
The Twins rank 22nd in the league for walks this season (230).
The Twins rank 21st in the league for batting average this season (.244).
The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (77).

Mariners vs Twins Prediction 
Minnesota comes into this series after really struggling in their last ten games and they have allowed 35 runs in their last three. The Twins are 20-14 at home this year, while the Mariners are 19-18 on the road. Seattle has scored 30 runs in their last three games and they will face Ober, who has allowed 4, 7, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. The Twins will face Woo, who has allowed 0, 5, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over here.