Mariners vs Orioles Prediction 8/14/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 67-54 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 3-4. In their game two loss, Seattle was able to tie the game in the ninth, but allowed a run in the bottom of the inning for the defeat. The Mariners recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Naylor, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Gilbert, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Brash picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners swept the Rays in three games and also swept the White Sox in three games. Seattle has won eight of their last nine games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 551 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 45 home runs and 98 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added 23 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Evans, who is 6-4 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 74.1 innings pitched this year. Tne Mariners currently sit in 2nd place in the American League West standings, only one game behind the Houston Astros.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 54-66 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-3 on Wednesday night. Baltimore blew a 3-1 lead in the ninth inning, but they were able to rally and get the walk-off win. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Jackson, Mountcastle, and Holliday, who all had one RBI in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Akin blew the save, but also picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Athletics and two out of three against the Phillies. Baltimore has lost three of their last four games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .265 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 509 runs with a .240 batting average and a .303 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 14 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 9-5 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Orioles

• The Mariners have won eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL West opponents following a home win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Orioles’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Orioles’ last 15 games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mariners’ last six day games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Mountcastle has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Jorge Mateo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in four of the Orioles’ last five games as home underdogs.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents.

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Mariners vs Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore was able to pick up a dramatic win on Wednesday night, which snapped Seattle’s lengthy winning streak. The Orioles are 29-30 at home this year, while the Mariners are 30-29 on the road. Seattle is battling with Houston in the AL West, so every game is super important right now. The M’s are starting Evans, who has allowed 3, 3, and 6 earned runs in his last three outings. The O’s are going with Sugano, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. I don’t really trust either starting pitcher in this matchup, so I will side with the better lineup. Take Seattle here.