Pick details
| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 82-57 | 67-74 |
| Spread | -1.5 -102 | +1.5 -119 |
| Moneyline | -163 | +135 |
| Total | Over 9 (-112) | Under 9 (-108) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Wednesday, September 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:05 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 67-74 record this season and are sitting in 4th place of the NL East. They have a 33-39 home record and are coming off a 9-5 home win against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Padres next.
The Washington Nationals have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .431 slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the Nationals’ best hitter with a .269 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 94. James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.
Brad Lord (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, with a 5-2 record, 3.75 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have an 82-57 record this season and are sitting in 1st place of the NL East. They have a 34-33 road record and are coming off a 5-9 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the Phillies and the Rays next.
The Atlanta Braves have a .248 batting average this season, .312 OBP, and .412 slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the Braves’ best hitter with a .296 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 80, adding a team-high 37 home runs.
Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, with a 9-5 record, 3.71 ERA, and 1.34 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: September 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brad Lord Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 3.75
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Nationals’ last eight games.
- The Braves have lost five of their last six games as road favorites.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Nationals Park.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home day games.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes Record this season: 9-5 ERA: 3.71
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Nationals: 0-1
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 13 Wednesday day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 12 games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine Wednesday day home games.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Nationals.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven day games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Braves’ last 13 day games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six games as home underdogs.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Brad Lord has recorded three or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against the Braves.
- Brady House has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (44) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Grant Holmes has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Grant Holmes has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
- Lane Thomas has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (151).
- The Nationals rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (735).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (401).
Braves vs Nationals Prediction
The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Nationals, having won two of their last three visits in Washington.
In this Braves vs Nationals Prediction, the Braves are coming as -150 road favorites. I like the Braves in a bounce-back spot today, as Holmes has been red-hot on the road, with three shutouts in his last four road starts and a 2.79 road ERA. On the flip side, the Nats are going for a bullpen game and they have the third-worst bullpen ERA in baseball. Brad Lord will be the opener and he has been terrible at home, with a 6.32 ERA in 31.1 innings pitched. Take the Braves in this one.



