Jun 29, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners starting pitcher George Kirby (68) throws against the Los Angeles Angels during the second inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images
Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction 7/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Seattle Mariners Miami Marlins
Team Records 47-45 50-42
Spread -1.5 123 +1.5 -149
Moneyline -131 +109
Total Over 8.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-110)
Where loanDepot park, Miami, Florida
When Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Time 06:40 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 47-45 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-6 on Tuesday night. Seattle erased a 4-0 deficit and led 5-4, but they blew the save and couldn’t score in the 10th for the loss. The Mariners recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Raleigh, who went 2-5 with one RBI. Woo allowed nine hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rucker picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Seattle won two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Angels. 

This season, Seattle has a 3.55 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 377 runs with a .231 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez has led the Mariners with 14 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Luke Raley has added 14 home runs and 36 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 7-7 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 104.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 50-42 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-5 in extra innings. Miami blew a 4-0 lead in the middle innings, but they tied the game at five in the eighth and won in the 10th. The Marlins recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Marsee, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Meyer allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Gibson picked up the win. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Athletics in three games and split four games with the Rockies. 

This season, Miami has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 424 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 13 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added nine home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Tyler Phillips, who is 1-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last six Wednesday night games.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last four night games following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have lost five of their last six night games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day following an extra innings loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Mariners following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mariners’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last five home games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Heriberto Hernandez has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at LoanDepot Park.
  • Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction

Miami was able to escape game one with a victory on Tuesday and they have won four games in a row. The Marlins are 29-17 at home this year, while the Mariners are 20-25 on the road. Seattle has won three of their last five games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of those five. The Mariners are starting Kirby, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in back to back outings, while Phillips has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last four starts. Take the Mariners to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Mariners ML

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