Mariners vs Guardians Prediction 8/31/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 31st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 72-64 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 4-5 and 3-4. In their game two loss, Seattle cut the deficit to 4-3 in the eighth inning, but came up short in the comeback attempt. The Mariners recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rodriguez, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Gilbert, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Ferguson allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Athletics. Seattle has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 623 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 50 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 26 home runs and 76 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 3-5 with a 5.98 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 68-66 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday night. Cleveland led 3-0 and 4-1 in the game, but they barely hung on for the victory in the later innings. The Guardians recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Manzardo, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Williams, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Rays, but did lose all three against the Rangers before that. Cleveland has won four games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 517 runs with a .224 batting average and a .295 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 23 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 9-10 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Mariners 

The underdogs have won seven of the Guardians’ last eight games at Progressive Field.
The Mariners have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.
The Guardians have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against teams that held a winning record.
The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against the Mariners at Progressive Field.

Why the Mariners will beat the Guardians 

The Mariners have won eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Guardians have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against the Mariners at Progressive Field following a win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six day games at Progressive Field following a road loss.
The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Mariners’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Four of the Guardians’ last five home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven day games at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last four road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against AL Central opponents.
J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Cal Raleigh ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.581) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Guardians rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.367).
The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (194).
The Mariners rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1216).

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction 

Seattle comes into this matchup struggling over their last four games and they will look to turn things around here, but they have had issues on the road. The Guardians are 35-32 at home this year, while the Mariners are 31-37 on the road. Cleveland has won four games in a row and they are getting back into the AL Wild Card race. The Guardians are starting Bibee, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The Mariners are going with Miller, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five outings. Take the over here.