Mariners vs Guardians Prediction 8/29/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 29th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 72-62 this year after they won two out of three against San Diego by scores of 9-6, 6-7, and 4-3. In their game three win, Seattle jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the fourth inning and they were able to hang on, despite not scoring in the final five innings. The Mariners recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Seattle started Woo, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Munoz picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Athletics, but did lose all three against the Phillies before that. Seattle has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 616 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 50 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 25 home runs and 73 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 8-6 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 95.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 66-66 this season after they won two out of three against Tampa Bay by scores of 0-9, 3-0, and 4-3. In their game three win, Cleveland trailed for most of the game, but they tied the game in the ninth and won in the 10th. The Guardians recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Kwan, Manzardo, Jones, and Wilson, who all had one RBI in the win. Cleveland started Cecconi, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Smith picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians lost all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Cleveland has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 508 runs with a .224 batting average and a .295 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 21 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 7-10 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 128.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mariners will beat the Guardians 

The Guardians have lost each of their last seven games at Progressive Field against teams that held a winning record.
The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Mariners at Progressive Field following a win.
The Mariners have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Progressive Field following a win.
The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the last seven games between the Mariners and Guardians have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Guardians’ last eight night games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mariners’ last six night games at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last three games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games as road favorites against the Guardians.
Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
George Kirby has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.366).
The Guardians rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (191).
The Mariners rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (134).

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland picked up a much needed series win over Tampa Bay earlier this week and they need to stack some wins to get back into any type of a playoff race. The Guardians are 33-32 at home this year, while the Mariners are 31-35 on the road. Seattle has won three of their last four and they are starting Kirby, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Cleveland is going with Allen, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five, but did allow nine earned runs last time out. I think Allen could have more issues with this Seattle lineup, so take the Mariners -1.5 here.