Jun 24, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Cleveland Guardians right fielder Kahlil Watson (31) hits an RBI single against the Chicago White Sox during the tenth inning at Rate Field. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images
Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction 6/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Seattle Mariners Cleveland Guardians
Team Records 42-41 42-40
Spread -1.5 114 +1.5 -137
Moneyline -149 +124
Total Over 8 (-102) Under 8 (-118)
Where Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
When Saturday, June 27, 2026
Time 07:10 PM EDT
TV MLB.TV

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 27th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 42-41 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-1 last night. Seattle trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the last three runs to get the win. The Mariners recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rodriguez, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Castillo allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Munoz picked up the save. Prior to this series, Seattle lost two out of three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Seattle has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 334 runs with a .231 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez has led the Mariners with 14 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Luke Raley has added 14 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 6-4 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 93.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 42-40 this season after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 on Friday night. Cleveland led 1-0 after the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Guardians recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Watson, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Cantillo allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Herrin picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 321 runs with a .227 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Slade Cecconi, who is 3-6 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have lost each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Progressive Field following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Mariners’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Guardians’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last five games against AL West opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Mariners’ last six road games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Manzardo has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games as home underdogs against the Mariners.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last nine home games against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Luke Raley has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites against the Guardians.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Guardians rank 28th in the league for hits this season (605).
  • The Guardians rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (306).
  • The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Mariners rank 27th in the league for batting average this season (.231).

Mariners vs Guardians Prediction

Cleveland picked up another loss to start this series on Friday night and they have lost four of their last five games. The Guardians are 19-18 at home this year, while the Mariners are 20-22 on the road. Seattle has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in five straight. The Mariners are starting Gilbert, who has allowed one earned run in three straight starts, while Cecconi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8

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