Mariners vs Braves Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Mariners vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 5th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 73-67 this year after they lost all three games against Cleveland by scores of 2-10, 5-6, and 4-9. In their game three loss, Seattle allowed eight runs in the first two innings and never had a chance in the blowout loss. The Mariners recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Rodriguez, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Kirby, who allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Hancock allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Guardians, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that. Seattle has lost five of their last six games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 638 runs with a .241 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 51 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 28 home runs and 82 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 4-6 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 63-77 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 6-7, 3-4, and 5-1. In their game three win, Atlanta trailed for most of the game, but they scored five runs in the last three innings to escape with the victory. The Braves recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kim, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Kinley and Iglesias closed out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Braves lost three out of four against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Atlanta has lost five of their last seven games and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 618 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 21 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Mariners 

The Mariners have lost each of their last five games against NL East opponents.
The Braves have won five of their last six games against American League opponents.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games following a loss.
The Braves have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Truist Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Truist Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Twelve of the Mariners’ last 13 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Nine of the Braves’ last 11 night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven night games against AL West opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Mariners.
Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Matt Olson has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Mariners at Truist Park.
Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five games as road underdogs against NL opponents.

Mariners vs Braves Prediction 

Seattle comes into this series playing very poorly over the last two weeks, so they need to turn things around if they want to battle for the AL West Title. The Mariners are 32-40 on the road this year, while the Braves are 33-33 at home. Atlanta is just trying to get to the end of the season, as they have been way below expectations this season. The Braves are starting Sale, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. The Mariners are going with Gilbert, who has allowed 3, 1, 6, 2, and 1 earned run in his last five. I can’t trust this Seattle team right now, especially against Sale, so give me the Braves here.