Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9/28/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw here and Kershaw is 10-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mariners, Kershaw is 4-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 42 strikeouts. Bryce Miller will get the start here and is 4-5 with a 5.53 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. In his career, Miller is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Dodgers. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to build on Saturday’s 5-3 win over Seattle to improve to 92-69 this season.

Dodgers Trying To Finish Regular Season Strong

Shohei Ohtani has 167 hits including 24 doubles, 54 home runs, 101 RBIs and 9 triples. Michael Conforto has 82 hits with 20 doubles while Teoscar Hernandez has 124 hits with 25 home runs, 29 doubles and 89 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 19 stolen bases while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 73 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 20 home runs and 82 RBIs as well on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 162 hits with a team-high 39 doubles, 23 home runs and 88 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 157 hits with 27 doubles, 27 home runs and 85 RBIs as well this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to rebound from Saturday’s loss to the Dodgers to fall to 90-71 this season.

Mariners Drop Back-To-Back Games

Jorge Polanco has 124 hits including 30 doubles, 25 home runs and 75 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 144 hits with 23 doubles, a team-high 60 home runs and 125 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 141 hits with 31 doubles, 27 home runs, 76 RBIs and 29 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 173 hits with 31 doubles, 4 triples, 32 home runs, 95 RBIs and 28 stolen bases. J.P Crawford has 149 hits with 24 doubles, 12 home runs and 58 RBIs.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: September 28, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 5.53
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home day games.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home day games.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at T-Mobile Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Clayton Kershaw      Record this season: 10-2      ERA: 3.52
• Road Record: 5-2
• Last 5 against Mariners: 3-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last 11 games against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games against the Dodgers following a loss.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Mariners.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Dodgers following a loss.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Dodgers’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last three day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mariners’ last seven day games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Dodgers’ last 13 games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in seven of the Mariners’ last eight Sunday games as favorites.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Double in eight of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Bryce Miller has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Mariners as favorites against NL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Miguel Rojas has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded a win in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.616) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (233).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (819).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (241).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m rolling with the Dodgers here. Whether it’s the Dodgers as the hotter team or the sentiment behind Clayton Kershaw’s final regular season start, I think Los Angeles just finds a way to get the job done here. The Mariners will be fine going to the postseason, but I think that the Dodgers complete the series with the win here. Give me the Dodgers.