Jul 10, 2025; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Angels left fielder Taylor Ward (3) is tagged out at home plate by Texas Rangers catcher Jonah Heim (28) as home plate umpire Nate Tomlinson makes the call in the first inning at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers Prediction 07/28/2025 Picks

Pick details

Texas (56-50) vs Los Angeles (51-55)

July 28, 2025 at 09:38 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles +165 / Texas -200 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 28th at the Angel Stadium in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels have a 51-55 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL West. The Angels have a 26-25 home record and 56-48 in over/under They are coming off a 4-1 home victory over the Mariners, and are 2-5 in their last 7 games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Rays and the White Sox next.

The Angels have a .234 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Nolan Schanuel leads the Angels with 107 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Taylor Ward leads the team with 77 RBI and a team-high 24 home runs.

Jack Kochanowicz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and he has a 3-9 record, 6.03 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 56-50 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 22-30 road record and are 42-61 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-1 home victory over the Braves, and are 9-1 in their last 10 games. Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Mariners and the Yankees next.

The Rangers have a .231 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .376 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 90 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 59, while Corey Seager leads the team in home runs with 15.

Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 10-2 record, 2.28 ERA and 0.90 WHIP.

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Rangers and Angels.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The Angels have won the first inning in four of their last five night games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
  • The Angels have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have lost 10 of their last 11 games following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Rangers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim following a win.
  • The Rangers have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Rangers’ last 10 night games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Rangers and Angels have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last nine road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Angels’ last nine night games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Angels rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1024).
  • The Angels rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (405).
  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.15).
  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

The Rangers are 8-2 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Angels, and are 5-2 in their 7 meetings this season. They are 5-2 in their last 7 visits in Los Angeles, and over is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -200 road favorites. The Rangers have a better overall record, but they have been below average on the road. The Rangers have a huge pitching advantage, as DeGrom takes the mound and has been excellent this season, and he is up against Jack Kochanowicz, who is coming off an injury and has been terrible so far. The Rangers also have a superior bullpen to come after deGrom, so I expect an easy Rangers win in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Texas Rangers -1.5

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