Pick details
| MATCHUP | Los Angeles Angels | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Saturday, April 11, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have an 8-6 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL Central. They have a 3-4 home record and are coming off a 2-10 home loss against the Angels. Their previous three games were a 1-8 and a 4-7 road loss, and a 6-3 road win against the Marlins.
The Reds have a .203 batting average this season, .287 OBP and .321 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .340 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 9. Elly De La Cruz adds a team-high 4 home runs.
Brandon Williamson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.76 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.
Los Angeles Angels Preview
The Los Angeles Angels have a 7-7 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL West. They have a 4-4 away record and are coming off a 10-2 road win against the Reds. Their previous three games were a 2-8 and a 2-7 home loss, and a 6-2 home win against the Braves.
The Angels have a .207 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .360 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Jo Adell is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Jorge Soler leads the team in RBI with 15, and Zach Neto adds a team-high 5 home runs.
George Klassen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and he has a 0-0 record, 6.75 ERA and 3.00 WHIP.
Los Angeles Angels @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: April 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Williamson Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 4.76
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Angels: –
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won 12 of their last 13 day games following a home loss.
- The Angels have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Angels.
- The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents.
- The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: George Klassen Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 6.75
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Reds: –
Why the Los Angeles Angels will win
- The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
- The underdogs have won six of the Reds’ last eight games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Angels and Reds.
- The Angels have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Angels’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Angels’ last six games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jose Trevino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Angels.
- Will Benson has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with the Reds as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks T5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.458) this season.
Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Soler has hit a home run in each of the Angels’ last three games.
- Jo Adell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels’ last seven day games.
- Zach Neto ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (41).
- The Reds rank T29th in the league for RBIs this season (38).
- The Angels rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (149).
- The Angels rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (18).
Angels vs Reds Prediction
The Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings against the Angels and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
In this Angels vs Reds Prediction, the Reds are coming as -135 home favorites. The Reds have three consecutive losses and got demolished by 10-2 yesterday and I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup. Both Williamson and Klassen have been struggled this season and have a combined 11.51 ERA and both teams are a perfect 9-0 to the over in their last nine games combined. They have also been better against the opposing starter throw hand, so I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 9 runs.



