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Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks
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Minnesota Twins (29-22) vs Kansas City Royals (28-25)
May 25, 2025 at 02:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -122 / Kansas City Royals +102 — Over/Under: 7.5
The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Kansas City Royals will send out Kris Bubic for the start here and Bubic is 5-2 with a 1.47 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Twins, Bubic is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA and 30 strikeouts. Bailey Ober will start this one for the Twins and is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Royals, Ober is 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Kansas City Royals Recap
The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-4 loss at the hands of the Twins on Saturday to fall to 28-25 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Royals Drop Back-To-Back Games
Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-high 62 hits with 19 doubles and 19 stolen bases, along with 3 triples, 5 home runs, and 28 RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 50 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 8 home runs, and 30 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 58 hits with 13 doubles, 5 home runs, and 24 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, and Salvador Perez also has 3 home runs and 24 RBIs but also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Royals with 47 strikeouts so far this season.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won six of their last eight games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Twins have lost three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Royals’ last seven day games.
- Kris Bubic has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Jonathan India has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last seven games.
- Kris Bubic has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 10 day games.
- MJ Melendez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against the Twins.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T1st in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their win over the Royals from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 29-22 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Twins Looking For Sweep To Stay Hot
Byron Buxton has 41 hits along with 5 doubles, a team-high 10 home runs, and 27 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 37 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 26 hits with 8 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 5 home runs and 21 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 56 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 45 hits, 8 doubles, 4 home runs, and 28 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 45 hits with 7 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
- The Royals have lost 20 of their last 23 games at Target Field.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ty France has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against the Royals.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Royals and Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Royals’ last six day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the under in this game. This to me just sets up as a bit of a pitcher’s duel between two teams that have quality arms. The Royals, far more often than not this season have been struggling to break past four runs, and the Twins, have played a bunch of low-scoring matchups lately. I think this could be another first to 3 wins kind of game so give me the under in this one.