Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/8/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 8th at the Target Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 54-60 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 30-24 home record and are 50-56 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-4 road victory over the Tigers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games and are playing the Yankees and the Tigers next.

The Twins have a .241 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 92 hits, adding a team-high 59 RBI, 23 home runs, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average.

Joe Ryan (R) is the projected starter for the Twins, and he has a 10-5 record, 2.83 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.

Kansas City Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals have a 57-58 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 29-30 road record and are 49-65 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-3 road victory over the Red Sox, which ended their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games and are playing the Nationals and the White Sox next.

The Royals have a .244 batting average this season, .301 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 129 hits, while Maikel Garcia is the team’s best hitter with a .298 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in RBI, with 68, while Salvador Perez adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Seth Lugo (R) is the projected starter for the Royals, and he has an 8-5 record, 3.06 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Royals have lost each of their last 10 games at Target Field following a win.
• The Twins have won eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Twins at Target Field following a win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in 15 of their last 17 night games against the Royals at Target Field.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Twins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Twins’ last five games at Target Field.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Twins’ last eight games.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the last 11 games between the Royals and Twins have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Royals’ last nine night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Royals’ last 11 night games at Target Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Twins’ last 10 home games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (793).

The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (292).

The Twins rank T25th in the league for steals this season (57).

The Royals rank 30th in the league for walks this season (278).

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Royals are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Twins, and are 4-3 in their 7 meetings this season. Under is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, the Twins are coming as -135 home favorites. Both pitchers have been excellent this season, with a combined 5.89 ERA, and in the previous game this season where they both started, there were just 4 total runs, as the game went under the total. Both teams have not been effective on the offensive side, as they average just 8 runs per game combined. Six of their seven meetings this season went under the total, and I expect another low-scoring affair again today. Take the under 8 runs.