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Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Houston (77-65) vs Texas (73-69)
September 6, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas -115 — Over/Under: +6.5
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 73-69 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 43-27 home record and are 62-77 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 home victory over the Astros, that ended their two-game losing streak. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 games and are playing the Brewers and the Mets next.The Rangers have a .238 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .389 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 114 hits, while Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73. Corey Seager is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Jacob deGrom (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 11-6 record, 2.69 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 77-65 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astros have a 34-33 road record and 65-71 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 road defeat by the Rangers, and are 2-5 in their last 7 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Braves next.The Astros have a .253 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .400 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 142 hits, adding a team-high 24 home runs. Jeremy Pena is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, while Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 74. Â
Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 10-7 record, 2.34 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have lost 15 of their last 17 games after going to extra innings.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games after going to extra innings.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday night games against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
Why the Houston Astros will win
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- The Astros have won 12 of their last 13 games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Rangers have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last five games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites against the Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Astros and Rangers at Globe Life Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (519).
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1349).
- The Astros rank 26th in the league for triples this season (11).
Astros vs Rangers Prediction
The Rangers are 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings against the Astros, but the Astros are 4-3 in their last 7 visits in Texas. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Texas.In this Astros vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -120 home favorites. This is the definition of a pitchers duel, as DeGrom goes against Hunter Brown. Both pitchers have been elite this season, with a combined 5.03 ERA, and both are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they have a 1.76 and 2.08 ERA across their last five starts. Both teams also have top-10 bullpens to back those pitchers up, so I expect runs to come at a premium in this one. Take the under 6.5 runs.
Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 6.5
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