Jul 13, 2025; Houston, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers second baseman Marcus Semien (2) throws a fielded ball to first base to complete a double play against the Houston Astros during the second inning at Daikin Park. Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-Imagn Images

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/5/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Pick details

Houston (77-64) vs Texas (72-69)

September 5, 2025 at 08:05 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas TBA — Over/Under: TBA

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 5th at the Globe Life Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 72-69 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 42-27 home record and are 62-76 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-2 road defeat by the Dbacks, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 5-3 in their last 8 games and are playing the Brewers and the Mets next.

The Rangers have a .238 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .389 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 114 hits, while Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73. Corey Seager is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average, adding a team-high 21 home runs.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 11-7 record, 3.24 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 77-64 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Astros have a 34-32 road record and 65-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-8 home defeat by the Yankees, and are 2-4 in their last 6 games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Blue Jays and the Braves next.

The Astros have a .253 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .401 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 141 hits, adding a team-high 24 home runs. Jeremy Pena is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average, while Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 74.

The Astros have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.

Astros vs Rangers Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 wins in their last 10 head-to-head meetings, and the Astros are 4-2 in their last 6 visits in Texas. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Texas.

The Astros have not announced a starting pitcher for this game, but Kelly starts for the Rangers and he has been excellent this season, and the Rangers were the hottest team in baseball before their recent two-game losing skid against the Dbacks. Texas is a different beast at home, where they are one of the best teams in the league, while the Astros are extremely inconsistent lately, with two losses by the Angels and one by the Rockies in their last 10 games. Take the Texas Rangers to get the job done at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Texas Rangers ML

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