Guardians vs Mets Prediction 08/06/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 6th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 58-55 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-6 and 3-2. In their game two win, Cleveland trailed 2-0 in the second inning, but they scored the last three runs to escape with the victory. The Guardians recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Arias, Manzardo, and Kwan, who all had one RBI in the win. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Festa got the win and Smith picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Rockies. Cleveland has won six of their last seven games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 446 runs with a .229 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 23 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 18 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 6-4 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 116.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 63-51 this year after they lost on Tuesday night by a score of 3-2. New York jumped out to an early 2-0 lead, but they went scoreless over the last seven innings in the low scoring loss. The Mets recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Taylor and Alonso, who both had one RBI in the loss. New York started Holmes, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rogers picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Giants and all three against the Padres. New York has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 500 runs with a .241 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 25 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 25 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 7-4 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 127.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost 16 of their last 19 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Guardians’ last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Mets’ last 13 home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five day games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Guardians’ last six road games against National League opponents.

Guardians vs Mets Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they are playing some very good baseball right now. The Guardians are 29-28 on the road this year, while the Mets are 38-20 at home. New York is trending in the opposite direction, as they have lost seven of their last eight, but they are starting Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The Guardians are going with Williams, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. I know New York is not in a good place right now, but I like Peterson and I think he leads them to a win. Take the Mets -1.5 here.