Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction 10/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, October 11th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off of a series win over the Braves in the NLDS by scores of 5-3, 2-3, 3-1, and 4-1. In game four, Los Angeles trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but pitched a shutout over the last eight innings for the win. The Dodgers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Pages, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Glasnow allowed one hit and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Henriquez picked up the win and Diaz got the save. Prior to that series, Los Angeles had a bye in the wild card round and swept the Giants in three games to end the regular season. 

This season, Los Angeles had a 3.55 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they scored 801 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Andy Pages led the Dodgers with 23 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani added 30 home runs and 81 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tarik Skubal, who is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this postseason. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are coming off of a series win over the Padres in the NLDS by scores of 3-2, 4-3, 3-4, and 3-1. In game four, Milwaukee blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored once in the fifth inning and once in the sixth to get the win. The Brewers recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Frelick, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Gasser allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings, while Ashby picked up the win and Megill got the save. Prior to that series, Milwaukee had a bye in the wild card round and swept the Cardinals in three games to end the regular season.

This season, Milwaukee had a 3.51 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they scored 832 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Jake Bauers led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Brice Turang added 21 home runs and 100 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jacob Misiorowski, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this postseason. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games at American Family Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last 15 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at American Family Field following a road win.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL opponents following a road win.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Dodgers at American Family Field.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at American Family Field against NL opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last nine night playoff games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost five of their last six night games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night playoff games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five playoff games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at American Family Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last seven night playoff games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Dodgers’ last 11 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last four night games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.80) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five road playoff appearances.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 playoff appearances with his team as an underdog.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (832).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (600).
• The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.424).

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series after winning the NLDS in four games and this should be an excellent series. Los Angeles has allowed one run in three of their last five games, while Milwaukee has allowed three or fewer in three of their last four. The Dodgers were 49-32 on the road this year, while the Brewers were 55-26 at home. This is an elite pitching matchup, but I am going to give the slight edge to Misiorowski and the Brewers at home.

David Racey's Pick: Brewers ML